[1]杨丽徙,张永锋,许向伟,等.半参数回归分析法在电力负荷预测中的应用[J].郑州大学学报(工学版),2010,31(03):29-32.
　YANG Lixi,ZHANG Yongfeng,XU Xiangwei,et al.Application of Semi-parametric Regression Analysis Methodin Electric Power Load Forecasting[J].Journal of Zhengzhou University (Engineering Science),2010,31(03):29-32.
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半参数回归分析法在电力负荷预测中的应用()
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《郑州大学学报(工学版)》[ISSN:1671-6833/CN:41-1339/T]

卷:
31
期数:
2010年03期
页码:
29-32
栏目:
出版日期:
2010-03-01

文章信息/Info

Title:
Application of Semi-parametric Regression Analysis Methodin Electric Power Load Forecasting
作者:
杨丽徙; 张永锋; 许向伟; 等.
郑州大学,电气工程学院,河南,郑州,450001, 遂平县电业公司,河南,遂平,463100, 驻马店供电公司,河南,驻马店,463400
Author(s):
YANG Lixi; ZHANG Yongfeng; XU Xiangwei; etc
1．School of Electric Engineering，Zhengzhou University，Zhengzhou 450001．China；2．Suiping Electric Power Supply Compa—ny，Suiping 463100，China；3．Zhumadian Electric Power Supply Company。Zhumadian 463400，China
关键词:
半参数回归模型;  两阶段最小二乘法;  权重系数法;  参数;  非参数
Keywords:
semi-parametric regression model; two-stage least squares method; weight coefficients; paremetric; non-parametric
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了融合参数模型和非参数模型的优点,对半参数回归模型在电力负荷预测中的应用进行了研究.在原始数据预处理的基础上,运用相关性分析理论确定了半参数模型中的参数与非参数变量,构建了半参数回归模型;利用两阶段最小二乘法和权重系数法对回归系数和回归参数进行了估计.算例结果表明,半参数回归分析法具有较高的负荷预测精度和较广泛的适用范围.
Abstract:
In order to integrate the advantages of parameter model and non—parameter model。a semi—para—metric regression model was studied for power load forecasting．On the basis of pretreatment of the original data，the use of relevant theory determined the parameters of semi—parametric model and non—parametric vail—ables and constructed the semi—parametric regression model．The regression coefficients and regression pa·rameters were assessed with the two—stage least squares method and the weight coefficients．The exampleshows that this method is more precise and has broader adaptability．
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01