[1]李宗坤,吴赛,李定斌,等.南水北调中线工程潮河段征迁安置风险分析[J].郑州大学学报(工学版),2016,37(04):57-61.[doi:10.13705/j.issn.1671-6833.2016.04.013]
　Li Zongkun,Wu Sai,Li Dingbin,et al.Risk Analysis of Land Requisition and Resettlement in Tidal River Section of the South to North Water Diversion Middle Route Project[J].Journal of Zhengzhou University (Engineering Science),2016,37(04):57-61.[doi:10.13705/j.issn.1671-6833.2016.04.013]
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南水北调中线工程潮河段征迁安置风险分析()
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《郑州大学学报(工学版)》[ISSN:1671-6833/CN:41-1339/T]

卷:
37
期数:
2016年04期
页码:
57-61
栏目:
出版日期:
2016-08-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Risk Analysis of Land Requisition and Resettlement in Tidal River Section of the South to North Water Diversion Middle Route Project
作者:
李宗坤; 吴赛; 李定斌; 张西辰
1.郑州大学水利与环境学院,河南郑州,450001;2.河南省人民政府移民工作领导小组办公室,河南郑州,450008
Author(s):
Li Zongkun1; Wu Sai1; Li Dingbin2; Zhang Xichen2
1. School of Water Resources and Environment, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan 450001. 2. Office of the Immigration Work Leading Group of the People’s Government of Henan Province, Zhengzhou, Henan 450008
关键词:
Keywords:
south to north water diversion middle route project;  land requisition and resettlement;  WBS-RBS;  AHP;  risk degree
DOI:
10.13705/j.issn.1671-6833.2016.04.013
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
针对南水北调中线工程征迁安置风险因素较多,且随着工作的进展风险因素不断变化的问题,以潮河段为例,在分析征迁安置工作特点和风险来源的基础上,通过构造WBS-RBS判断矩阵对风险进行动态识别,采用层次分析法(ARP)和风险度理论计算各子工作的权重和风险度,并按照5级风险标准对征迁安置风险进行综合评价.结果表明,潮河段征迁安置工作总体风险水平为3级中等风险,其中安置阶段风险较大,风险等级为4级,与工程调研结果基本一致,应给予特别重点关注.
Abstract:
In view of the problem that the risk that exists in land requisition and resettlement of the south tonorth water diversion middle route project is so much and changes with the implementation progress,This pa-per taking Tidal River section as an example,on the basis of analyzing work characteristics and risk origin,i-dentifies risks fully dynamically through building WBS-RBS matrix and calculates the weight and degree ofrisks based on AHP and risk degree theory. Finally,it makes comprehensive evaluation according to the level5 risk criteria.The result shows that the overall risk is level 3 medium with the greatest risk ranking level 4 inresettlement phase,which is basically consistent with the engineering investigation result and should be spe-cially focused on.
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